Friday Forecast?? and hillarys help

Gday All,

Just wondering what to make of Fridays forecast at the moment, Seabreeze looks sht (2.5m swell with 15kn est), but willy weather and BOM look to be ok (seas up to 1 metre, swell 1 -1.5m and 10kn to variable easterlys).

Still very cautious when Easterly are predicted because they are usually stronger than predicted, hence my hesitation on going out deeper. i have a 6.5m glass.

Anyone thinking of heading out on friday?

Any thoughts are appreciated.

 

Cheers All once again.


sammy85's picture

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 I would run with bom

Tue, 2013-07-02 08:07

 I would run with bom forecast at the moment but make your decision tomorrow night /Thursday morning

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dant's picture

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yeah i was thinking that

Tue, 2013-07-02 08:34

yeah i was thinking that Sammy - but just didnt want to get caught out wide in a blowy easterly. might have to have a look on the day.

uncle's picture

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its too bloody cold

Tue, 2013-07-02 09:03

just need that forecast wind to drop of abit

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dant's picture

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haha yeah im ready for the

Tue, 2013-07-02 09:10

haha yeah im ready for the frost bite on the nose on the way out.

thats what i was thinking - im debating the wind factor.

chris raff's picture

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Wear a purple jumper that'll

Tue, 2013-07-02 09:24

Wear a purple jumper that'll harden you up ... today would've been the pick , bloody work .. 

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dant's picture

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haha - nice Chris, if you

Tue, 2013-07-02 09:30

haha - nice Chris, if you have any spare pass them on need some new rags for the boat, or toilet paper.

always seems to be the way with the weather, just want a nice glassy day to go where i want.

 

Justo82's picture

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i reckon friday looks the

Tue, 2013-07-02 10:15

i reckon friday looks the goods at the moment.  wind dying off around mid day.  I'd double check it on thursday though.

dant's picture

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yeah thats what im thinking

Tue, 2013-07-02 10:30

yeah thats what im thinking justo - might not be a bad ride back.

Also i was wondering if someone could please do me a favour and show me the route out of Hillarys straight out, i have been told which way to go but would rather follow someone out and save the way points for future- pls PM me if your going out Friday morning, il swing a block of beer your way - much appreciated.

Jody's picture

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PM sent

Tue, 2013-07-02 10:34

 I drink Tequila btw 

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dant's picture

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Unfortunately Jody cant lead

Tue, 2013-07-02 11:06

Unfortunately Jody cant lead me out friday morning.

Any other takers would be appreciated

uncle's picture

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theres normally someone

Tue, 2013-07-02 13:36

going thru there, just hang back and wait, especially if thw waters calm, I haven't checked for awhile bur the rotto ferry used to go thru there as well

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Justo82's picture

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yeah, it's a pretty easy

Tue, 2013-07-02 14:00

yeah, it's a pretty easy passage out.  if you have charts in your GPS you can see the depths.  otherwise, follow another boat out.  The rotto ferries go straight out as well.

 

it's pretty hard to stuff up, you can see the waves breaking normally, if no waves are breaking it only gets about 2m at it's most shallow anyway, so you aren't going to hit bottom.

dant's picture

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cheer uncle and Justo - i

Tue, 2013-07-02 14:12

cheer uncle and Justo - i have seen other boats go through there during the light, wish i would have followed them then.

Its just il be going out at about 5.30am on Friday morning - so not that confident in the dark first go as i wont be able to see the waves breaking, and it might be awhile before and boat heads out.

Justo82's picture

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fair enough..  hopefully you

Tue, 2013-07-02 15:08

fair enough.. 

 

hopefully you can find someone to show you the way...

 

good luck!

Dreamtime's picture

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passage find.

Tue, 2013-07-02 15:19

 might be goin out from hillarys then aswell so you can follow me out if you like. or if you live near craigie, i could easy show you on a gps or charts mate.

dant's picture

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thats would be awesome

Tue, 2013-07-02 15:33

thats would be awesome Dreamtime if you are going out mate - would def rather follow someone out if i could.

Just PM me with the details if your definately heading out, il organise a few beers for your trip out.

Brody's picture

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Co-ord for the middle of the

Wed, 2013-07-03 12:40

Co-ord for the middle of the gap - 31 49.795, 115 42.446. Head straight for that after getting out of the marina. As you approach, behind you, you'll see the lighthouse lined up between two large aerials.

roberta's picture

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Fridays weather for Jurien Bay

Wed, 2013-07-03 13:18

 

Friday 5 July
Summary
Min 4
Max 18
Sunny.
Central West area

Sunny. Areas of morning frost in the east. Winds easterly 15 to 20 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 1 and 5 with daytime temperatures reaching between 15 and 19.

 

Don't know if this will help also

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dant's picture

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thanks Brody RobertaBrody - i

Wed, 2013-07-03 13:23

thanks Brody Roberta

Brody - i will keep that in mind for sure when im see it in the light, just sketchy on first time in the dark by myself, need someone to hold my hand, scared of the dark.

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Dant - I dont think its a good idea in the dark mate

Wed, 2013-07-03 14:24

 Weve gone out of there many times on the way out to the HYC FAD and rotto at daytime. Its very unpredictaible even at day.   If you go directly west of the marina opening you will go through the gap it gets to 6m - DO NOT go anywhere near the 2m depth somebody mentioned in a post above even if it looks OK. Navionics has a free web app if you go to it you can see the gap directly west between the breakers at 6m depth. Weve gone through there and its been like a pond, other times its looked fine and then turned dangerous quickly - Others may disagree but I just think its a real bad idea to do it at night not worth the risk in 2.5 -3m swell and 12+ knot easterly in the dark also most of the times ive gone out theres been craypots and theres plenty of whales out there at the moment. By the way i havent forgotten to PM you those deeper fishing spots I promised so dont bloody kill ya self  Cheers mate  

Justo82's picture

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some good points....  just

Wed, 2013-07-03 14:36

some good points.... 

 

just keep an eye on the weather Dant and see how you go on friday.

 

just for the record, i wasn't suggesting to go over the 2m area's, merely just stating that's about as shallow as it gets, so if there's no swell, there's little that can go wrong.  but as always, when the ocean is involved (or water in general) caution and common sense must be used.

 

if you do manage to get out, let us all know how you go.

 

cheers

dant's picture

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thanks Again Beeroclock and

Wed, 2013-07-03 15:04

thanks Again Beeroclock and Justo - the feedback is appreciated, and saftey first for me - i have to do it a couple of times and get a good feel for it before id attempt it in the morning.

thinking about heading up to ocean reef maybe or two rocks with Paul G, the weather looks ok Metro, but the wind picks ups a bit on the lancelin forecast so not sure which forecast to read for two rocks.

No stress beeroclock wont hound you for them - appreciate whatever is given.

Thanks all again.

Brody's picture

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No worries Dant. Good on you

Wed, 2013-07-03 15:40

No worries Dant. Good on you for taking a bit of caution, especially in the dark. Just for reference, i've found that anywhere up to a 2m swell, absolutely no worries going through the gap. 2.5m, takes a bit of caution and anywhere around a 3m swell can be pretty hairy, but do-able.

dant's picture

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thanks Again Brody, dont

Wed, 2013-07-03 15:51

thanks Again Brody, dont usually go out on anything past 3m.

BOM and Willy weather are still saying 1 -1.5m swell and good old Seabreeze is showing 2.5 - dont get why such a contrast in forecast.

Brody's picture

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Yeah i'd normally go with

Wed, 2013-07-03 16:20

Yeah i'd normally go with BOM.

dant's picture

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have you used that METEYE

Thu, 2013-07-04 06:31

have you used that METEYE service on BOM Brody - looks pretty good if its accurate.

dant's picture

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Hi All - just a last minute

Thu, 2013-07-04 14:43

Hi All - just a last minute bump to see if anyone going early from either Hillarys or Ocean reef in the morning. i still havent found anyone willing to guide me out in the dark.

I might have to wait to sun up if not - thanks again.

 

Dreamtime's picture

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sorry mate.

Thu, 2013-07-04 18:33

 sorry mate got the call for work tomorow so not headed out till early saturday morning. more than welcome to tag along then if you like.

dant's picture

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 thanks anyway mate, rdo

Thu, 2013-07-04 20:28

 thanks anyway mate, rdo tomorrow so fot to make the most of it